PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

F5777

0x933324edc6073f1bb12a74cfc9eb1a9226bc3067

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$90.2k
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$69.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
United States vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7300.690$46.72−$2.74
Will Mexico win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.4400.105$22.92−$73.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Up0.3950.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00−$294.62
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3780.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$25.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5850.000$0.00−$972.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.8600.000$0.00−$200.00
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET · Up0.2380.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.8940.000$0.00−$400.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00−$400.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 03:27United States vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5BUY0.7304011159$49.46
10-04 02:18Will Mexico win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.4396068547$95.94
08-01 06:13Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31?SELL0.999$550.98
08-01 04:08Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31?BUY0.8949546719$493.60
07-25 01:41Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxSELL0.862$181.63
07-25 01:31Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.8008002032$168.74
07-25 01:29Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsSELL0.963$170.45
07-25 00:42Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsBUY0.55$97.35
07-22 06:46Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.25$1.16
07-19 21:09Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4249999996$500.00
07-19 17:50Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2624999987$100.00
07-19 17:14Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2624999996$300.00
07-19 17:14Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5399999995$500.00
07-18 23:02Will England win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.999$104.07
07-18 22:42Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.4799999981$50.00