10421
0x932e1e93bbb2a7e2e17b3a1da4cb6240423a99f0
- Realised P&L
- $-103.53
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $0.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.41at 0.148Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$21.82at 0.535Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
- +$19.29at 0.512Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$12.33at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
- +$12.24at 0.148Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:39 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%? | BUY | 0.0039408867 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 13:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 13:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $45.30 |
| 09-17 13:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 13:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8708560097 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 13:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 13:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 12:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 12:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 12:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 12:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |