grrrw
0x93267c7935e6d6cfbd263c7819413c19bed2594e
- Realised P&L
- $-329.24
- Volume
- $29.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $16.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.078 | $13.77 | +$3.77 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.005 | $2.29 | −$2.71 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.00 |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.36at 0.352Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?
- +$7.08at 0.240Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$6.35at 0.253Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$0.00at 0.200Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$-5.04at 0.129Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-02 12:29 | Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0088850052 | $60.00 |
| 03-02 12:25 | Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.0963488762 | $14.96 |
| 03-01 14:43 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SELL | 0.414 | $16.35 |
| 03-01 14:43 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.41 | $17.08 |
| 03-01 14:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0448944514 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 14:40 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $110.00 |
| 03-01 14:39 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $96.00 |
| 03-01 14:37 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 02-21 15:38 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.2531897801 | $10.00 |
| 02-21 15:34 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 02-21 15:33 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.012 | $5.00 |
| 02-21 15:31 | Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.1288041171 | $20.00 |
| 02-21 15:29 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 02-20 11:44 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $80.00 |
| 02-20 11:44 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |