roger58
0x9320bc08084acd75dc858d4dcae66f3ae27c2d17
- Realised P&L
- $-11.47
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $104.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 28? · No | 0.620 | 0.960 | $37.89 | +$13.42 |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? · No | 0.750 | 0.767 | $30.69 | +$0.70 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · No | 0.600 | 0.550 | $19.96 | −$1.81 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week? · No | 0.943 | 0.879 | $16.19 | −$1.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.90at 0.582Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$16.05at 0.570Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
- +$12.23at 0.707Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
- +$11.20at 0.560Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$7.21at 0.630Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Wednesday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:59 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.98 |
| 01-30 12:49 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.08 |
| 01-30 12:44 | Will Ethena hit $0.41 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.61 |
| 01-30 12:39 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.13 |
| 01-30 12:24 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.82 |
| 12-30 09:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.50 |
| 12-30 00:28 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.33 |
| 12-29 23:30 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.18 |
| 12-29 22:07 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $48.07 |
| 10-31 01:00 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.78 |
| 10-30 23:36 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9929999874 | $22.57 |
| 10-30 20:57 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.98 |
| 09-29 09:27 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.78 |
| 09-29 03:01 | Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September? | BUY | 0.9979999976 | $15.71 |
| 09-29 00:21 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.998999976 | $13.66 |