Sonny101
0x931aa0d1bc0406382b1189160420550ec506fae8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $85.5k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? · Up | 0.641 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$263.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? · Up | 0.125 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31? · Down | 0.245 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28? · Down | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 5? · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6? · Up | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$746.98 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? · Up | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 27? · Down | 0.175 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.213S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 23?
- +$1.3kat 0.263S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?
- +$644.03at 0.424S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 26?
- +$527.66at 0.631S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?
- +$193.73at 0.518S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 14:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? | SELL | 0.79 | $146.15 |
| 10-21 14:51 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? | SELL | 0.7605405698 | $140.69 |
| 03-06 12:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 03-06 09:29 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 03-06 09:20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 03-06 03:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 03-05 02:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5? | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 03-04 03:05 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4? | SELL | 0.38077575 | $152.31 |
| 03-04 02:05 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4? | BUY | 0.55 | $89.20 |
| 03-03 04:22 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3? | SELL | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 03-03 04:21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3? | SELL | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 03-03 01:32 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3? | BUY | 0.58 | $116.00 |
| 02-26 15:15 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26? | SELL | 0.87 | $42.67 |
| 02-26 15:06 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26? | SELL | 0.73 | $47.73 |
| 02-26 14:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.20 |