PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

farm-ville

0x9315efdfbe74e791312960ed3aa61876668542a2

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$105.3k
Markets traded
3,913
Open portfolio
$93.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,913
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 23? · Yes0.5850.605$14.51+$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 23? · Yes0.5770.505$11.66$1.67
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on September 23? · No0.5090.495$11.50$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 24? · Yes0.4850.470$9.40$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23? · Yes0.8200.820$4.37+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22? · No0.1481.000$3.62+$3.08
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 23? · Yes0.4820.535$3.21+$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 23? · No0.5000.745$3.16+$1.04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 23? · Yes0.5200.525$3.10+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 23? · No0.4800.475$2.80$0.03
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22? · No0.4981.000$2.76+$1.38
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 22? · Yes0.6340.605$2.58$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 23? · Yes0.4400.490$2.45+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 24? · No0.4400.485$2.10+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 23? · Yes0.4900.255$2.04$1.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 00:07Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 21?BUY0.44$2.41
09-20 12:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.93$21.00
09-20 08:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.58$21.00
09-20 00:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETBUY0.6$21.00
09-19 21:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETBUY0.88$20.76
09-19 11:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.69$21.00
09-19 04:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY0.95$21.00
09-18 09:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.95$21.00
09-17 19:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.93$21.00
09-16 17:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.943$20.86
09-16 13:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.85$20.99
09-16 07:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.95$21.00
09-16 03:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETBUY0.93$21.00
09-15 12:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.95$21.00
09-14 15:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.95$9.50