nomoney-nohoney
0x931466553a14d86e05d5fe0afbb00ae488cddb74
- Realised P&L
- $192.89
- Volume
- $232.3k
- Markets traded
- 490
- Open portfolio
- $6.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded490
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.025 | $5.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.006 | $0.60 | +$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.09 | −$1.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? · No | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$378.23at 0.368Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 15?
- +$331.75at 0.067Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 14?
- +$294.81at 0.298Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 29?
- +$285.01at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 28?
- +$279.52at 0.105Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $53.75 |
| 08-04 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.6293492063 | $5.55 |
| 08-04 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.6258070175 | $17.84 |
| 08-04 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.42 | $7.14 |
| 08-04 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4935121107 | $11.41 |
| 08-04 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4670833333 | $22.42 |
| 08-04 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8487449315 | $87.91 |
| 08-04 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.08 |
| 08-04 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.161 | $6.44 |
| 08-04 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.30 |
| 08-04 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.1684507042 | $5.98 |
| 08-04 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.158182748 | $4.64 |
| 08-04 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7794035176 | $62.04 |
| 08-04 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.56 |
| 08-04 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0919754405 | $17.23 |