0x931461285F73f51D03Fe0c68f6fac9C5fdF5a616-1721893033365
0x931461285f73f51d03fe0c68f6fac9c5fdf5a616
- Realised P&L
- $-34.01
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $3.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will STRC hit $100 by October 31? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.220 | $3.24 | −$1.76 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026? · No | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.08 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Down | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Base airdrop in 2024? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.09at 0.110Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?
- +$2.23at 0.310Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?
- +$1.08at 0.480Ethereum above $2,500 on September 6?
- +$1.08at 0.480Solana above $130 on September 13?
- +$1.00at 0.500Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 10:52 | Will STRC hit $100 by October 31? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 10:20 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3823529142 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 10:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 06:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 06:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.0607733734 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 13:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 13:37 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.962999997 | $6.00 |
| 05-16 13:26 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15? | SELL | 0.002 | $5.28 |
| 05-16 13:24 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15? | BUY | 0.003 | $8.00 |
| 05-16 13:13 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.36 |
| 08-07 21:07 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:45 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:43 | Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 14:40 | Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? | BUY | 0.0787327027 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 10:11 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.00 |