0x930665d7b699C5e78F327952B28Cb1feEDFA4eb1-1775600008583
0x930665d7b699c5e78f327952b28cb1feedfa4eb1
- Realised P&L
- $-450.66
- Volume
- $34.1k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $51.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$249.46at 0.571Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$175.43at 0.338Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$107.48at 0.754Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$63.91at 0.678Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
- +$56.63at 0.790US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 23:27 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%? | BUY | 0.9089451217 | $71.00 |
| 05-16 10:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 10:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $7.29 |
| 05-16 10:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2539409356 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 10:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $5.51 |
| 05-16 10:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 10:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $5.35 |
| 05-16 10:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 10:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $3.38 |
| 05-16 10:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $5.78 |
| 05-16 10:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 10:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 10:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $31.68 |
| 05-16 10:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999916 | $25.00 |
| 05-16 10:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $5.00 |