0x92fc8deeb5a2596edf9379305dbae2ee826502b7
0x92fc8deeb5a2596edf9379305dbae2ee826502b7
- Realised P&L
- $-11.15
- Volume
- $200.19
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $6.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 1.000 | $6.45 | +$4.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.45at 0.310US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.71at 0.350US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$2.39at 0.462Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
- +$2.29at 0.472Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
- +$1.96at 0.510Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:13 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 02:42 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 18:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 05:50 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 07:09 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 15:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 21:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 18:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 20:20 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 11:57 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998758 | $1.42 |
| 08-19 03:21 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 06:59 | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 22:57 | Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 02:41 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $84 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 18:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |