nothingno
0x92fc8772b3091e7c8d449e2ccfbc3df954ad1d78
- Realised P&L
- $-17.7k
- Volume
- $158.5k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $358.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.75at 0.458Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$55.25at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$14.09at 0.452Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$13.61at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$13.04at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 04:53 | Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.0589999946 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 04:36 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0845657525 | $50.00 |
| 06-03 02:20 | Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.0898648631 | $30.00 |
| 06-03 01:43 | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |
| 04-01 23:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0600281676 | $1000.00 |
| 02-19 08:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $12.20 |
| 02-19 08:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $9.72 |
| 02-19 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $12.44 |
| 02-19 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4039050595 | $9.71 |
| 02-19 08:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $6.41 |
| 02-19 08:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $9.71 |
| 02-19 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $6.57 |
| 02-19 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.389999986 | $9.72 |
| 02-19 07:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $6.65 |
| 02-19 07:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $9.71 |