Mcmurphy1337
0x92f2f5e6c5cf4692d3c5ecf845b091b34e549f8f
- Realised P&L
- $-5.34
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $213.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · Yes | 0.747 | 0.540 | $213.04 | −$81.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.83at 0.737Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 09:45 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.7473336153 | $294.84 |
| 06-09 06:23 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9806927257 | $297.81 |
| 05-31 10:40 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7289288008 | $221.36 |