Rekt1-627
0x92e4cbfeaf911ec15d2f6b98b0b6d29d05a036e9
- Realised P&L
- $335.78
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $379.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? · No | 0.627 | 0.670 | $237.99 | +$15.30 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B · Team Spirit | 0.850 | 0.885 | $141.60 | +$5.60 |
| West Florida vs. Southeast Missouri State · Southeast Missouri State | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.04 |
| Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Giants vs. Rams · Giants | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.10 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$219.84at 0.412Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
- +$202.43at 0.239Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25?
- +$151.58at 0.520Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
- +$96.86at 0.701Dana White's Contender Series: Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$79.45at 0.208Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 05:28 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.4 | $149.60 |
| 09-26 05:31 | West Florida vs. Southeast Missouri State | BUY | 0.65 | $44.04 |
| 09-26 04:31 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B | BUY | 0.85 | $136.00 |
| 09-26 04:28 | Will Anguilla win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-25 03:44 | Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.23 | $61.18 |
| 09-25 01:29 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | SELL | 0.54 | $22.35 |
| 09-24 03:20 | Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | SELL | 0.59 | $354.00 |
| 09-24 03:17 | Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.61 | $366.00 |
| 09-23 20:50 | Maple Leafs vs. Senators | BUY | 0.4493761682 | $96.17 |
| 09-23 03:17 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.2 | $20.07 |
| 09-23 00:34 | Dana White's Contender Series: Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.69 | $223.56 |
| 09-21 21:47 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.27 | $42.10 |
| 09-21 09:16 | Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 09-21 06:55 | Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? | BUY | 0.6035261708 | $8.76 |
| 09-21 06:53 | Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? | BUY | 0.6285067771 | $110.82 |