zalupcin
0x92e2db84c38efdd4e2b48d2afdc4abc36137e902
- Realised P&L
- $-27.44
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $51.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.50at 0.080LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
- +$8.10at 0.110LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
- +$6.32at 0.293Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
- +$4.59at 0.471Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?
- +$3.85at 0.450Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 09:01 | Will Ciro Nogueira win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 09-30 09:00 | Will Julio Cesar win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election? | BUY | 0.197 | $0.99 |
| 09-25 22:13 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.09 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 09:58 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | SELL | 0.007 | $0.14 |
| 09-21 16:40 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.02 |
| 09-21 10:04 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.979 | $4.89 |
| 09-20 21:33 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-20 15:08 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.43 |
| 09-20 13:33 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:11 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:07 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.76 |
| 09-18 17:48 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:46 | Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:45 | Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 08:51 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $2.00 |