Analista.
0x92d0cb81e6c891b835c8e0272e8c323095bd269e
- Realised P&L
- $45.7k
- Volume
- $3.08M
- Markets traded
- 1,296
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,296
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.046Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$2.1kat 0.272Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.508US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.334Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
- +$1.6kat 0.148Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:31 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0071 | $2.84 |
| 09-21 01:28 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $70.26 |
| 09-21 01:28 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | SELL | 0.924 | $231.00 |
| 09-21 01:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $680.00 |
| 09-20 21:45 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $160.63 |
| 09-20 13:50 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.053006931 | $85.35 |
| 09-20 13:14 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.16 | $64.00 |
| 09-18 13:27 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | BUY | 0.068094304 | $100.01 |
| 09-18 11:31 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $81.34 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | BUY | 0.0661692951 | $52.41 |
| 09-17 23:34 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.69 | $138.00 |
| 09-17 19:56 | Will Kennedy Center demolition be announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.7025 | $56.20 |
| 09-17 19:39 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | SELL | 0.9510533765 | $111.54 |
| 09-17 18:22 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.1353451069 | $67.67 |
| 09-17 17:43 | US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? | SELL | 0.16 | $48.32 |