Analista.
0x92d0cb81e6c891b835c8e0272e8c323095bd269e
- Realised P&L
- $47.8k
- Volume
- $2.93M
- Markets traded
- 1,225
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,225
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.517 | $2.6k | +$610.35 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.281 | 1.000 | $1.5k | +$1.1k |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.989 | $563.73 | +$136.42 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? · No | 0.745 | 0.969 | $387.60 | +$89.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.046Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$2.1kat 0.272Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.508US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.334Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
- +$1.6kat 0.149Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:14 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.3771666667 | $4.53 |
| 08-02 16:13 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.3798393704 | $84.94 |
| 08-02 16:12 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.69 |
| 08-02 15:41 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4369103636 | $692.83 |
| 08-02 15:23 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4767419355 | $147.79 |
| 08-02 14:16 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4995608018 | $70.78 |
| 08-02 10:07 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4325537 | $129.77 |
| 07-31 21:24 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 07-31 00:57 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31? | BUY | 0.6039412326 | $69.68 |
| 07-30 21:13 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.287 | $143.50 |
| 07-30 14:44 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2785692 | $278.57 |
| 07-30 01:15 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.0550469689 | $254.66 |
| 07-30 00:57 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.12094 | $60.47 |
| 07-30 00:04 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.1090530106 | $173.52 |
| 07-29 22:59 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.17684915 | $353.70 |