PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Analista.

0x92d0cb81e6c891b835c8e0272e8c323095bd269e

Realised P&L
$47.8k
Volume
$2.93M
Markets traded
1,225
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,225
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.3950.517$2.6k+$610.35
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · No0.2811.000$1.5k+$1.1k
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026? · No0.7500.989$563.73+$136.42
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? · No0.7450.969$387.60+$89.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:14Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.3771666667$4.53
08-02 16:13Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.3798393704$84.94
08-02 16:12Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.36$10.69
08-02 15:41Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4369103636$692.83
08-02 15:23Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4767419355$147.79
08-02 14:16Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4995608018$70.78
08-02 10:07Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4325537$129.77
07-31 21:24Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.24$1.20
07-31 00:57Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?BUY0.6039412326$69.68
07-30 21:13Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.287$143.50
07-30 14:44Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2785692$278.57
07-30 01:15U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.0550469689$254.66
07-30 00:57U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.12094$60.47
07-30 00:04U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.1090530106$173.52
07-29 22:59U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.17684915$353.70