eRa012dfsg
0x92c61f0cb31832de53177f1a98c5879c2b045dc7
- Realised P&L
- $81.14
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $118.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.28at 0.018Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$37.73at 0.440Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$29.04at 0.120US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$25.42at 0.240Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$12.71at 0.240Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 14:23 | Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:20 | Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:19 | Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1333333333 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:17 | Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:17 | Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:16 | Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:14 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:12 | Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:10 | Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:10 | Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:08 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:07 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:06 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 17:45 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 17:44 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2000380953 | $5.00 |