Clesta
0x92c48a25952dbc9ef53683577da5936484328767
- Realised P&L
- $-896.10
- Volume
- $30.1k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $601.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$435.91at 0.586Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$155.81at 0.191UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$106.99at 0.396Lakers vs. Trail Blazers
- +$55.54at 0.380GTA VI released in 2025?
- +$46.25at 0.306Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs DarkZero Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 05:36 | Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $21.00 |
| 09-15 12:28 | Rainbow Six Siege: Cloud9 vs DarkZero Esports (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage | BUY | 0.7100591701 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 12:27 | Rainbow Six Siege: Heretics vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage | BUY | 0.785513145 | $25.00 |
| 09-13 05:59 | Rainbow Six Siege: Twisted Minds vs Shifters (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage | BUY | 0.5434782609 | $25.00 |
| 09-13 05:52 | Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs INTZ (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage | BUY | 0.8565737005 | $25.00 |
| 09-11 07:39 | Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999906 | $4.00 |
| 09-11 07:22 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $31.00 |
| 09-11 07:19 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $25.00 |
| 09-11 06:37 | Rainbow Six Siege: 100 Thieves vs DarkZero Esports (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage | BUY | 0.7168106821 | $25.00 |
| 09-11 04:55 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7270916259 | $25.00 |
| 09-11 04:54 | Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6899999925 | $25.00 |
| 08-24 07:03 | Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 06:57 | Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.5544071344 | $25.00 |
| 08-24 06:56 | Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.5699999918 | $25.00 |
| 08-24 06:55 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.6699999966 | $28.00 |