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Traders

Clesta

0x92c48a25952dbc9ef53683577da5936484328767

Realised P&L
$-896.10
Volume
$30.1k
Markets traded
178
Open portfolio
$601.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded178
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5600.425$95.22$30.19
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5430.385$82.51$33.90
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3550.285$64.13$15.87
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5450.355$58.87$31.54
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4640.350$52.79$17.21
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Mayweather0.6100.495$52.71$12.29
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3470.185$42.06$36.94
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5870.540$41.39$3.61
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.5980.935$31.25+$11.25
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? · Yes0.6900.705$25.54+$0.54
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-26? · Yes0.6700.675$21.16+$0.16
Chud the Builder convicted? · Yes0.7800.405$12.98$12.02
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4000.245$6.13$3.88
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5070.145$4.29$10.71
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.9400.885$3.77$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 05:36Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.6699999911$21.00
09-15 12:28Rainbow Six Siege: Cloud9 vs DarkZero Esports (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group StageBUY0.7100591701$25.00
09-15 12:27Rainbow Six Siege: Heretics vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group StageBUY0.785513145$25.00
09-13 05:59Rainbow Six Siege: Twisted Minds vs Shifters (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group StageBUY0.5434782609$25.00
09-13 05:52Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs INTZ (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group StageBUY0.8565737005$25.00
09-11 07:39Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.9399999906$4.00
09-11 07:22Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5$31.00
09-11 07:192026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3599999971$25.00
09-11 06:37Rainbow Six Siege: 100 Thieves vs DarkZero Esports (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group StageBUY0.7168106821$25.00
09-11 04:55Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.7270916259$25.00
09-11 04:54Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.6899999925$25.00
08-24 07:03Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
08-24 06:57Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.5544071344$25.00
08-24 06:56Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.5699999918$25.00
08-24 06:55Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.6699999966$28.00
Trader Clesta · PolyBot Pro