ba77ixg4xj6w
0x92c196aca632e50cc4153d77cb0a79069ad33193
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $211.0k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $652.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.038 | $627.36 | −$214.58 |
| Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.075 | $24.99 | −$32.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.05at 0.278Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on April 9?
- +$18.52at 0.295Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?
- +$17.30at 0.279Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 7?
- +$3.24at 0.692Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$2.39at 0.554Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 17:03 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.037 | $33.00 |
| 09-11 17:02 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.037 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 17:02 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.037 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 17:02 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0369999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 15:59 | Falkenbergs FF vs. Osters IF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $1.61 |
| 09-10 14:08 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0342347952 | $6.00 |
| 09-10 14:07 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0337301587 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 13:57 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.034 | $27.00 |
| 09-10 13:56 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.032 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 13:56 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0315677678 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 13:55 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.031 | $50.00 |
| 07-01 16:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999953 | $13.00 |
| 06-30 19:24 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 19:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999985 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 18:39 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.089999997 | $25.00 |