PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

polyenjoyeeer

0x92c1295092715383576dc38fe5617f15dca2adc5

Realised P&L
$24.29
Volume
$46.5k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$6.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1800.025$6.25$38.75
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$62.60
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? · No0.0830.000$0.00$64.20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$48.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$30.54
No airdrop in 2025? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$108.00
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$9.94
Maduro out in 2025? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$2.70
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$38.00
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$29.00
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$57.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 15:22Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?BUY0.09$54.00
01-14 16:36US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?BUY0.38$38.00
12-29 10:46No airdrop in 2025?BUY0.36$108.00
12-23 08:09Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.013$5.75
12-21 19:52Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?BUY0.11$55.00
12-21 17:26Maduro out by January 31, 2026?BUY0.13$39.00
12-21 17:25Maduro out in 2025?BUY0.027$2.70
12-14 21:05U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?BUY0.22$44.00
12-11 23:33MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.013$1.30
12-09 21:10Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.99$99.00
12-09 12:07Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.05$20.00
12-09 12:06Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.79$79.00
01-02 23:07Lily Phillips has sex with between 1-249 men in a day?SELL0.060566835$11.75
12-24 23:49Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?SELL0.015$8.70
12-23 19:03Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?SELL0.014$6.50