polyenjoyeeer
0x92c1295092715383576dc38fe5617f15dca2adc5
- Realised P&L
- $24.29
- Volume
- $46.5k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $6.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.025 | $6.25 | −$38.75 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.60 |
| Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? · No | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.20 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.54 |
| No airdrop in 2025? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.00 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.94 |
| Maduro out in 2025? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.00 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.00 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.329Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$423.26at 0.539Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$261.00at 0.130Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$226.36at 0.110Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
- +$152.00at 0.220U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 15:22 | Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.09 | $54.00 |
| 01-14 16:36 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 12-29 10:46 | No airdrop in 2025? | BUY | 0.36 | $108.00 |
| 12-23 08:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.013 | $5.75 |
| 12-21 19:52 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.00 |
| 12-21 17:26 | Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $39.00 |
| 12-21 17:25 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.70 |
| 12-14 21:05 | U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? | BUY | 0.22 | $44.00 |
| 12-11 23:33 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.30 |
| 12-09 21:10 | Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 12-09 12:07 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |
| 12-09 12:06 | Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 01-02 23:07 | Lily Phillips has sex with between 1-249 men in a day? | SELL | 0.060566835 | $11.75 |
| 12-24 23:49 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024? | SELL | 0.015 | $8.70 |
| 12-23 19:03 | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024? | SELL | 0.014 | $6.50 |