PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x92bb11Aa6E71aaEB4cea3C9A4EB915E2d5dC1AFB-1768960544824

0x92bb11aa6e71aaeb4cea3c9a4eb915e2d5dc1afb

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$13.07M
Markets traded
5,588
Open portfolio
$22.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,588
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$4.00$4.00
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50$2.50
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$2.00$2.00
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$1.50+$0.50
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.002$1.15+$0.38
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00+$0.00
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$0.98$0.98
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 23:46Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$0.10
09-03 23:45Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$20.00
09-02 06:41Will Progressistas (PP) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?SELL0.001$0.03
09-02 06:40StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?SELL0.015$0.21
09-02 06:37Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?SELL0.001$0.04
09-02 06:37Will Partido da Social Democracia Brasileira (PSDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?SELL0.001$0.04
09-02 06:37Will Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?SELL0.001$0.06
09-02 06:37Will Partido Novo (NOVO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?SELL0.001$0.20
09-02 06:36Will Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?SELL0.001$0.48
09-02 06:35Will Podemos (PODEMOS) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?SELL0.001$0.01
09-02 06:35Will Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?SELL0.008$0.06
09-02 06:35Will Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?SELL0.001$0.17
09-02 06:34Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.001$0.42
09-02 06:32Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.008$6.15
09-02 06:30Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.001$10.00