0x92bb11Aa6E71aaEB4cea3C9A4EB915E2d5dC1AFB-1768960544824
0x92bb11aa6e71aaeb4cea3c9a4eb915e2d5dc1afb
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $13.07M
- Markets traded
- 5,588
- Open portfolio
- $22.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,588
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$155.92at 0.001Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$134.11at 0.001Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$87.80at 0.024Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
- +$87.80at 0.024Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$77.90at 0.026Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 23:46 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 09-03 23:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $20.00 |
| 09-02 06:41 | Will Progressistas (PP) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 09-02 06:40 | StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.21 |
| 09-02 06:37 | Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-02 06:37 | Will Partido da Social Democracia Brasileira (PSDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-02 06:37 | Will Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 09-02 06:37 | Will Partido Novo (NOVO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 09-02 06:36 | Will Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.48 |
| 09-02 06:35 | Will Podemos (PODEMOS) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-02 06:35 | Will Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.06 |
| 09-02 06:35 | Will Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 09-02 06:34 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.42 |
| 09-02 06:32 | Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.008 | $6.15 |
| 09-02 06:30 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |