PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

37caesdre

0x92b90e4a2ef4c4c3d7bc40fed980af8842580b49

Realised P&L
$-148.32
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$31.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8? · No0.9920.998$30.17+$0.17
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9690.850$0.88−$0.12
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$0.53
Trail Blazers vs. Magic · Trail Blazers0.4600.000$0.00−$110.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 11:46Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8?BUY0.992$30.00
10-04 06:36Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4?BUY0.9929999999$30.00
09-08 02:09Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 7?BUY0.9889999999$8.00
08-19 21:17Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?SELL0.202$8.42
08-18 00:32Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?BUY0.9739999809$40.60
08-16 12:39Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 16?BUY0.9949999771$40.40
08-05 01:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?BUY0.972999988$39.50
08-02 02:17Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.9899999813$35.00
07-30 01:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?BUY0.9729999999$32.80
07-29 02:05Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 29?BUY0.9849999997$32.00
07-27 04:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27?BUY0.9958907631$32.00
07-26 03:02Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?BUY0.9869999997$31.60
07-25 01:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25?BUY0.9889999997$31.50
07-22 14:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 22?BUY0.998$30.00
07-16 13:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 16?BUY0.9949999713$13.00