PolyBot

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Traders

Thaken1

0x92b8fe04bbc09561396a47587a1718c41932c78a

Realised P&L
$-13.54
Volume
$169.98
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$9.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration95.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.5900.615$4.63+$0.19
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.6850.665$4.42−$0.13
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$11.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 21:02Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.5899999057$2.19
09-28 21:01Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.6799999882$2.30
09-28 20:56Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.5899998951$2.25
09-28 20:55Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.689999908$2.25
09-28 20:47Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.999$9.16
09-28 19:18Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.9699999989$8.90
03-26 09:41Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?BUY0.7299999592$11.63
12-09 22:59Will Wisconsin be the closest state? SELL0.994$11.63
11-28 19:26Will Wisconsin be the closest state? BUY0.996$11.66
11-28 17:35Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?SELL0.729$11.66
11-23 16:05Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?BUY0.8759999413$14.02
11-15 19:52Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?BUY0.0899999827$4.69
11-15 19:51Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?BUY0.6499999786$9.11