lowthenhigh
0x92aeb2b0e5081d65b21ce999a071076d6cf731fe
- Realised P&L
- $-88.31
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 657
- Open portfolio
- $21.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded657
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.297 | 0.090 | $21.21 | −$48.79 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.080 | $0.65 | −$4.35 |
| Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.07 |
| Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · No | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.04 |
| Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.03 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026? · No | 0.421 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.04 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.25 |
| Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in March? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.42at 0.347Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$43.27at 0.308Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$32.47at 0.321Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$31.97at 0.326Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$31.02at 0.335Heat vs. Bucks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 03:59 | Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 03:46 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 03-31 03:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $2.64 |
| 03-31 03:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $5.20 |
| 03-14 23:24 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 03-14 03:02 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 03-09 13:54 | Syracuse Orange vs. SMU Mustangs | BUY | 0.6999999715 | $2.44 |
| 03-09 13:46 | LSU Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats | BUY | 0.9299999818 | $2.55 |
| 03-09 12:03 | Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils | BUY | 0.64 | $2.40 |
| 03-09 09:09 | Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers | BUY | 0.8399999608 | $2.56 |
| 03-09 09:01 | Kansas State Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars | BUY | 0.8899999966 | $2.58 |
| 03-09 08:49 | Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10? | BUY | 0.8669997347 | $1.49 |
| 03-09 08:45 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.739999929 | $2.50 |
| 03-09 08:08 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7719997905 | $2.52 |
| 03-09 07:52 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6389999223 | $1.39 |