0x92aadcecc913084766543ead6d4612465f1c0341
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $1.11M
- Markets traded
- 6,050
- Open portfolio
- $445.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,050
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.475Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$1.8kat 0.920Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$771.00at 0.625Ethereum Up or Down on April 21?
- +$732.34at 0.592Ethereum Up or Down on April 17?
- +$731.17at 0.669Ethereum Up or Down on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:43 | Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.9189999996 | $55.00 |
| 08-02 16:37 | Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.889999999 | $55.28 |
| 08-02 16:37 | Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.46 |
| 08-02 16:37 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.8299999977 | $55.28 |
| 08-02 16:37 | Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8999999853 | $55.28 |
| 08-02 16:37 | Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $55.28 |
| 08-02 16:37 | Will Gary Cordery win the 2026 Hawaii Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.8935344821 | $55.28 |
| 08-02 16:37 | Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.9722964568 | $55.28 |
| 08-02 16:37 | Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $55.28 |
| 08-02 16:15 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7473529412 | $4.07 |
| 07-10 21:06 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? | SELL | 0.53 | $0.20 |
| 07-10 21:06 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.171 | $0.24 |
| 07-10 21:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.30 |
| 07-10 21:06 | Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.918 | $0.39 |
| 07-10 21:06 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.911 | $0.37 |