0x92a5b5538c54efaaa484f0deaf9f6276c3bd01eb
0x92a5b5538c54efaaa484f0deaf9f6276c3bd01eb
- Realised P&L
- $13.14
- Volume
- $144.23
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $23.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth 3.5%+? · No | 0.539 | 0.846 | $7.85 | +$2.85 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.385 | $6.21 | +$1.21 |
| Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month? · No | 0.730 | 0.760 | $5.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.355 | $4.33 | −$0.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.33at 0.198Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?
- +$3.01at 0.630Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?
- +$1.62at 0.740NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?
- +$-2.83at 0.404Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 13:13 | Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month? | BUY | 0.7299999007 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 12:10 | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31? | SELL | 0.64 | $16.84 |
| 10-19 05:21 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.42 |
| 10-18 23:47 | Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth 3.5%+? | BUY | 0.5389999912 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 23:47 | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 22:51 | NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31? | SELL | 0.98 | $6.62 |
| 10-18 19:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.6139999605 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 17:14 | NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 13:46 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 06:37 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | BUY | 0.3921568627 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 05:58 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |