zzz1000
0x92a4a8decdc90910d474e5725f7a6d1a7d70ee4a
- Realised P&L
- $-943.57
- Volume
- $222.5k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.627 | 0.905 | $723.99 | +$222.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.769 | 0.935 | $467.50 | +$82.84 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.885 | 0.972 | $194.70 | +$17.34 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? · No | 0.085 | 0.075 | $105.93 | −$14.57 |
| Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.287 | 0.285 | $72.55 | −$0.51 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.956 | 0.970 | $32.17 | +$0.45 |
| Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? · No | 0.676 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$473.19 |
| Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$275.00at 0.704Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$224.13at 0.851Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$124.92at 0.205Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$118.74at 0.492Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$68.93at 0.899Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 09:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | BUY | 0.09 | $40.59 |
| 10-15 09:45 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2253776 | $56.34 |
| 10-15 02:50 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.971 | $228.43 |
| 10-15 02:49 | Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $116.00 |
| 10-15 02:45 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.778 | $152.49 |
| 10-15 02:45 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.221 | $44.20 |
| 10-07 15:25 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.973 | $391.28 |
| 09-15 13:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 09-15 13:42 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.67 | $134.00 |
| 09-15 13:42 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.678399968 | $339.19 |
| 09-15 13:41 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.96 | $804.28 |
| 09-15 13:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 09-15 13:40 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $242.73 |
| 08-27 15:26 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.759 | $1.1k |
| 08-27 15:26 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.24 | $336.00 |