PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

lewisdaniel

0x929ce16b1f7e1ae24b6843b72154d1a625c84417

Realised P&L
$-84.51
Volume
$21.4k
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$88.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5880.843$42.32+$12.80
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11? · No0.9000.935$27.26+$1.02
Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino · Matej Dodig0.6100.615$18.61+$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:53Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.9840859021$7.03
01-30 16:52Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?BUY0.999$3.37
01-30 16:12Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9969999998$13.24
01-30 15:20Will Chainlink hit $21 in January?BUY0.999$25.97
01-30 11:59Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.997$40.23
12-30 18:29Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?BUY0.998$2.99
12-30 16:58Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?BUY0.9989999369$5.64
12-30 10:10Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025?BUY0.999$15.44
12-29 23:25Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9939999716$34.68
12-29 19:29Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?BUY0.997999983$28.82
10-31 15:51Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?BUY0.999$22.48
10-31 15:41Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?BUY0.999$29.55
10-31 14:52Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?BUY0.998$22.11
09-29 09:47Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$17.30
09-29 05:57Will Solana reach $300 in September?BUY0.999$10.73