PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x929a8Eb9bE3Dc9Fa54970F10b8195766F1095ab4-1774939223503

0x929a8eb9be3dc9fa54970f10b8195766f1095ab4

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$288.9k
Markets traded
1,180
Open portfolio
$132.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,180
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.9210.950$61.86+$1.86
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.7300.815$22.33+$2.33
Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September? · No0.2000.290$14.50+$4.50
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September? · No0.3200.575$12.58+$5.58
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.9300.969$10.41+$0.41
Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September? · No0.6700.655$6.84$0.16
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? · Yes0.6800.063$2.76$27.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.5650.993$1.43+$0.61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.5950.001$0.02$21.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 10:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?SELL0.23$45.34
09-16 22:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5945945946$22.00
09-16 22:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?BUY0.6899999979$30.00
09-16 21:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.91$58.24
09-15 18:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5699999886$14.00
09-15 18:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.546357605$15.00
09-15 18:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.562660944$23.00
09-15 18:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.539999997$29.00
09-14 19:51Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.9299999976$50.00
09-14 19:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.9762385332$50.00
09-14 18:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.4$24.00
09-14 18:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?BUY0.7052776724$24.00
09-14 17:30US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.9517620586$40.00
09-14 17:28US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.9390609388$30.00
09-14 17:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.9589999995$30.00