0x929a8Eb9bE3Dc9Fa54970F10b8195766F1095ab4-1774939223503
0x929a8eb9be3dc9fa54970f10b8195766f1095ab4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $288.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,180
- Open portfolio
- $132.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,180
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No | 0.921 | 0.950 | $61.86 | +$1.86 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.815 | $22.33 | +$2.33 |
| Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September? · No | 0.200 | 0.290 | $14.50 | +$4.50 |
| Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September? · No | 0.320 | 0.575 | $12.58 | +$5.58 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No | 0.930 | 0.969 | $10.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.655 | $6.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.063 | $2.76 | −$27.24 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.565 | 0.993 | $1.43 | +$0.61 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.595 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$21.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$445.15at 0.087Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
- +$248.56at 0.431China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$234.97at 0.005Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
- +$234.37at 0.555Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
- +$194.06at 0.081Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 10:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | SELL | 0.23 | $45.34 |
| 09-16 22:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5945945946 | $22.00 |
| 09-16 22:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.6899999979 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 21:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $58.24 |
| 09-15 18:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $14.00 |
| 09-15 18:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.546357605 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 18:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.562660944 | $23.00 |
| 09-15 18:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.539999997 | $29.00 |
| 09-14 19:51 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.9299999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 19:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.9762385332 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 18:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $24.00 |
| 09-14 18:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.7052776724 | $24.00 |
| 09-14 17:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.9517620586 | $40.00 |
| 09-14 17:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.9390609388 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 17:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.9589999995 | $30.00 |