0x9297B98bcB410BE9E4DEde790c5DC2B16E49358B-1781277074215
0x9297b98bcb410be9e4dede790c5dc2b16e49358b
- Realised P&L
- $-595.03
- Volume
- $78.8k
- Markets traded
- 435
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded435
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$445.84at 0.122U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$101.10at 0.446Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$100.68at 0.402Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?
- +$97.51at 0.278Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
- +$95.68at 0.134Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.62 |
| 11-02 00:26 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.16 |
| 11-01 23:37 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.08 |
| 11-01 23:32 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 23:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $2.22 |
| 11-01 23:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.08 |
| 11-01 21:53 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.42 |
| 11-01 21:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 21:25 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.14 |
| 11-01 21:07 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 20:38 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $29.84 |
| 11-01 19:16 | Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.1439999982 | $1.28 |
| 11-01 18:28 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.27 |
| 11-01 17:45 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.03 |
| 11-01 17:45 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.03 |