PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9297B98bcB410BE9E4DEde790c5DC2B16E49358B-1781277074215

0x9297b98bcb410be9e4dede790c5dc2b16e49358b

Realised P&L
$-514.34
Volume
$71.5k
Markets traded
410
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded410
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7920.835$679.53+$35.10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9590.958$134.30$0.15
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1080.080$85.65$30.35
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.2190.234$71.30+$4.44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3460.335$47.05$1.62
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9500.945$46.26$0.24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? · No0.3400.380$43.85+$4.58
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8330.954$42.87+$5.41
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8740.780$34.54$4.15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0650.045$34.38$14.93
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.4730.465$32.40$0.53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1960.145$30.28$10.57
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4530.385$29.68$5.25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6690.495$27.48$9.64
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · No0.7410.676$26.22$2.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:24Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9519999542$1.83
09-17 18:24Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.950999995$5.57
09-17 18:24Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9509999941$7.05
09-17 18:23Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.96$120.00
09-17 16:43No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.7629999985$22.80
09-17 15:07Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$25.00
09-17 13:56Will the Democratic Party win the KY-05 House seat?BUY0.05$1.98
09-17 13:06No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.218$36.84
09-17 13:05No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.7819999917$1.32
09-17 13:05No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.781$132.40
09-17 13:05Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.074$15.69
09-17 13:04Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.925$196.21
09-17 09:59Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.309999948$1.43
09-17 09:52Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?BUY0.1199999981$2.51
09-17 08:47Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?SELL0.38$2.50