0x9297B98bcB410BE9E4DEde790c5DC2B16E49358B-1781277074215
0x9297b98bcb410be9e4dede790c5dc2b16e49358b
- Realised P&L
- $-514.34
- Volume
- $71.5k
- Markets traded
- 410
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded410
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$995.28at 0.086Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
- +$445.84at 0.122U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$197.03at 0.097Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
- +$136.78at 0.476Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
- +$101.10at 0.446Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:24 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9519999542 | $1.83 |
| 09-17 18:24 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.950999995 | $5.57 |
| 09-17 18:24 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9509999941 | $7.05 |
| 09-17 18:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $120.00 |
| 09-17 16:43 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.7629999985 | $22.80 |
| 09-17 15:07 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 13:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the KY-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.98 |
| 09-17 13:06 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.218 | $36.84 |
| 09-17 13:05 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.7819999917 | $1.32 |
| 09-17 13:05 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.781 | $132.40 |
| 09-17 13:05 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.074 | $15.69 |
| 09-17 13:04 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.925 | $196.21 |
| 09-17 09:59 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.309999948 | $1.43 |
| 09-17 09:52 | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999981 | $2.51 |
| 09-17 08:47 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.50 |