0x929670c081860194a6d75ef37861968c6cb7c08e
0x929670c081860194a6d75ef37861968c6cb7c08e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.40
- Volume
- $384.48
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $3.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.860 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20? · No | 0.440 | 0.450 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? · Down | 0.700 | 0.640 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.09at 0.260US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$4.34at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$3.21at 0.400Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37?
- +$3.16at 0.410Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $146 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$3.03at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 07:07 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 23:06 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 15:00 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 18:48 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 09:42 | Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q3 investment banking revenue be above $2.45B? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 23:25 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:20 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2949999572 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:14 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 02:14 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:46 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:12 | SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:53 | Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:42 | Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 07:50 | Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |