monadtoken
0x928392b42b850498e843058557a5752130d5449d
- Realised P&L
- $873.63
- Volume
- $45.3k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · No | 0.332 | 0.866 | $978.28 | +$602.72 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.484 | 0.246 | $98.40 | −$95.20 |
| T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka | 0.900 | 0.745 | $98.02 | −$20.39 |
| Will Aster dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.070 | $70.00 | −$479.99 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of July 20 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.509Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
- +$800.00at 0.600Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of March?
- +$548.20at 0.595Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
- +$530.00at 0.470Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitals
- +$490.00at 0.500Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Most Sixes Sunrisers Hyderabad Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 13:01 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.484 | $193.60 |
| 09-29 10:55 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October? | BUY | 0.7 | $700.00 |
| 08-21 16:27 | T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.9 | $118.41 |
| 07-19 08:31 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.0k |
| 06-03 21:49 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June? | BUY | 0.20691594 | $206.92 |
| 06-03 20:20 | Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $650.00 |
| 06-03 20:13 | Will Aster dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $549.99 |
| 05-29 15:29 | Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap? | BUY | 0.7 | $700.00 |
| 05-28 14:18 | Will Virat Kohli win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap? | BUY | 0.08 | $80.00 |
| 05-28 14:16 | Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap? | BUY | 0.7 | $700.00 |
| 04-10 14:19 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | BUY | 0.4399116523 | $229.05 |
| 04-10 13:06 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.52 | $21.66 |
| 04-10 10:48 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.3381368113 | $25.41 |
| 04-10 10:47 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.33 | $38.04 |
| 04-10 10:47 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.328964669 | $136.41 |