mikevici
0x9282e162e4f7f5d8c2c6d17c9f024943e7161fa9
- Realised P&L
- $-11.97
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $278.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.41at 0.250Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?
- +$0.33at 0.064Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.820Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election by 40%-45%?
- +$0.03at 0.160Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
- +$0.00at 0.160Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 06:07 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in October? | SELL | 0.21 | $8.40 |
| 10-12 00:19 | Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.16 | $5.38 |
| 10-11 17:03 | Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.42 |
| 10-11 07:21 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.13 |
| 10-11 01:08 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? | SELL | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 10-10 22:03 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.744 | $37.20 |
| 10-10 20:29 | French election called by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.056 | $2.80 |
| 10-10 17:41 | Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.961 | $48.05 |
| 10-10 17:16 | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 10-10 16:42 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 14? | SELL | 0.09604 | $4.80 |
| 10-09 20:42 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 10-09 16:39 | Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.943 | $47.15 |
| 10-09 05:47 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 10-09 02:11 | Greenland snap election called by December 31? | SELL | 0.9407088 | $47.04 |
| 10-08 16:01 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%? | SELL | 0.278 | $13.90 |