PolyBot

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Traders

mikevici

0x9282e162e4f7f5d8c2c6d17c9f024943e7161fa9

Realised P&L
$-11.97
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$278.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 15%-20%? · No0.8090.803$40.15−$0.30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%? · No0.7600.750$37.50−$0.50
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.735$36.75−$2.75
Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election? · Yes0.8900.640$29.47−$11.51
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election? · Yes0.4300.410$18.24−$0.89
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 35%-40%? · Yes0.3600.345$17.25−$0.75
Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election? · No0.3700.325$16.25−$2.25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 60%-65%? · Yes0.3100.310$15.50+$0.00
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · Yes0.4400.245$12.25−$9.75
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 40%-45%? · Yes0.2280.141$7.03−$4.38
Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? · Yes0.1900.135$6.75−$2.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · No0.1800.135$6.75−$2.25
Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.3400.315$6.23−$0.49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 12%-15%? · Yes0.1500.110$5.50−$2.00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.1710.107$5.38−$3.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 06:07Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in October?SELL0.21$8.40
10-12 00:19Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?SELL0.16$5.38
10-11 17:03Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.038$0.42
10-11 07:21Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?SELL0.34$2.13
10-11 01:08Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?SELL0.7$21.00
10-10 22:03Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.744$37.20
10-10 20:29French election called by December 31, 2026?SELL0.056$2.80
10-10 17:41Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.961$48.05
10-10 17:16Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$47.00
10-10 16:42Israel military action against Lebanon on October 14?SELL0.09604$4.80
10-09 20:42Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?SELL0.25$12.50
10-09 16:39Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.943$47.15
10-09 05:47Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?SELL0.74$14.80
10-09 02:11Greenland snap election called by December 31?SELL0.9407088$47.04
10-08 16:01Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?SELL0.278$13.90