0x927ea5173b361e451494ad98414a8b47e9d6ed98
- Realised P&L
- $-8.94
- Volume
- $370.04
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $9.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21? · No | 0.425 | 0.440 | $6.81 | +$0.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.130 | $2.78 | −$2.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 18? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.52at 0.670Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20?
- +$2.89at 0.614Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 19?
- +$1.39at 0.684Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 19?
- +$0.87at 0.802Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20?
- +$-0.62at 0.505Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.39 |
| 09-21 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.4299999688 | $3.58 |
| 09-21 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.2334221598 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0304739751 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.53 |
| 09-20 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7899999648 | $3.59 |
| 09-20 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.2167428571 | $3.79 |
| 09-20 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.26 | $4.55 |
| 09-20 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6499999458 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6599999505 | $4.00 |
| 09-19 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.47 |
| 09-19 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $2.49 |
| 09-19 11:46 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.08 |
| 09-19 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.58 |