PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x927ea5173b361e451494ad98414a8b47e9d6ed98

Realised P&L
$-8.94
Volume
$370.04
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$9.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21? · No0.4250.440$6.81+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 21? · Yes0.2330.130$2.78$2.22
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 18? · No0.6500.000$0.00$3.57
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.3440.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 08:38Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 21?SELL0.004$0.39
09-21 06:23Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.4299999688$3.58
09-21 01:07Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.4199999496$3.00
09-21 01:07Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.2334221598$5.00
09-21 01:06Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.0304739751$3.00
09-20 15:30Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20?SELL0.998$4.53
09-20 11:40Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.7899999648$3.59
09-20 11:40Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20?SELL0.2167428571$3.79
09-20 09:01Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.26$4.55
09-20 08:55Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.6499999458$3.00
09-20 08:00Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.6599999505$4.00
09-19 15:01Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 19?SELL0.999$4.47
09-19 11:47Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.6699999839$2.49
09-19 11:46Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 19?SELL0.33$1.08
09-19 11:43Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 19?SELL0.2$1.58