9c80
0x927ea2f81cb0115d757f074d5fa02440be7d0fd6
- Realised P&L
- $-93.35
- Volume
- $118.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $6.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $6.38 | −$108.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.61at 0.007Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.12at 0.998Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?
- +$0.10at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
- +$0.06at 0.999Ethereum all time high in April?
- +$0.06at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.9989991141 | $1.06 |
| 07-01 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.06 |
| 07-01 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.9989991141 | $1.06 |
| 07-01 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on July 1? | BUY | 0.9989991141 | $1.06 |
| 05-09 17:25 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 9? | BUY | 0.998999166 | $1.09 |
| 05-09 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.10 |
| 05-09 17:23 | Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.57 |
| 03-12 14:30 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.22 |
| 03-05 07:43 | Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $114.89 |
| 03-05 07:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.07 |
| 03-05 07:41 | Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.03 |
| 03-05 07:41 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.14 |
| 01-28 15:16 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $102.29 |
| 01-28 15:15 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.21 |
| 01-28 15:14 | Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.34 |