PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

myibaba

0x927785ea781e4ef70241026083139c43e6406d28

Realised P&L
$166.94
Volume
$10.7k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in October? · No0.9010.968$398.02+$27.41
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $180 in October? · No0.8020.605$302.50−$98.50
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8440.925$250.68+$21.93
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 in October? · No0.7250.915$219.60+$45.60
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8970.960$195.90+$12.77
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in October? · No0.9490.981$186.29+$6.07
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in October? · No0.8400.930$186.00+$18.00
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? · No0.8880.991$163.43+$16.93
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5850.715$157.30+$28.50
Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? · Yes0.9200.935$140.25+$2.25
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.7880.790$117.71+$0.31
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.5760.420$117.60−$43.80
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October? · Yes0.9340.954$114.42+$2.34
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.7460.950$114.00+$24.46
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in October? · No0.9290.870$108.75−$7.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 21:11US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.4676958525$10.15
10-10 13:52Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?BUY0.5342$80.13
10-09 21:49Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.25T and $2.50T at the end of November 2026?BUY0.2$4.00
10-09 21:37Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?BUY0.3309950249$66.53
10-09 21:28Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.52$26.00
10-09 21:13Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5886956522$135.40
10-09 18:00Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.49$49.00
10-09 18:00Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.48$2.40
10-08 20:10Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.7461666667$89.54
10-08 18:54Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in October?BUY0.94$70.50
10-08 18:37Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $138 in October?BUY0.93$46.50
10-08 18:37Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.935$18.70
10-08 18:34Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.79$45.03
10-08 18:32Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.7866304348$72.37
10-08 17:34Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in October?BUY0.93$18.60