Lonis26
0x92717f7194324d8448c3ff59a67bfdcd2bce8325
- Realised P&L
- $6.79
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $15.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.135 | $5.40 | −$1.80 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.114 | $2.27 | +$0.43 |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.225 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.465 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.670 | 0.705 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.425 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.415 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2027 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.255 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.129 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.24at 0.290Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$0.45at 0.693Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?
- +$0.44at 0.821Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
- +$0.42at 0.878Gold Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$0.35at 0.155Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 13:54 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.092 | $1.84 |
| 10-29 13:51 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.09 |
| 10-29 06:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 09:06 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 10-28 09:03 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.65 |
| 10-28 09:02 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 10-27 21:00 | Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:56 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 10-27 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 15:04 | Gold Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 14:40 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-27 14:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 10-27 11:45 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 11:36 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 11:35 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |