lijacq
0x926fdaf9e75bade23c04b10b7183f3e865f2eacb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $79.4k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $20.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.322 | 0.305 | $17.3k | −$962.52 |
| Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics | 0.700 | 0.825 | $1.6k | +$250.00 |
| Kings vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.835 | 0.815 | $1.0k | −$25.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.509 | 0.420 | $214.23 | −$45.65 |
| Bulls vs. 76ers · Bulls | 0.190 | 0.155 | $40.30 | −$9.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 31? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.001 | $0.14 | −$4.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on October 31? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.13 | −$1.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$9.94 |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Timberwolves | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.24 |
| Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Heat vs. Hornets · Heat | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$834.26at 0.560Lakers vs. Warriors
- +$577.00at 0.760Kings vs. Grizzlies
- +$294.22at 0.688Trail Blazers vs. Jazz
- +$140.36at 0.480Lakers vs. Clippers
- +$76.60at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 08:58 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.7 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.0068975278 | $2.48 |
| 11-01 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.548848 | $54.88 |
| 11-01 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.53 | $23.85 |
| 11-01 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 11-01 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $26.00 |
| 11-01 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.197058875 | $31.53 |
| 11-01 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.85 | $187.00 |
| 11-01 03:45 | Bulls vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.19 | $46.11 |
| 11-01 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4950821836 | $150.00 |
| 11-01 02:37 | Kings vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 02:36 | Kings vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.8556371063 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 02:36 | Kings vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.8344356882 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 02:32 | Kings vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.82 | $421.89 |
| 11-01 02:29 | Thunder vs. Rockets | SELL | 0.9959746703 | $559.53 |