PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

iheredia

0x926c36c40f0e159a0d7d39fdee71374e1ca55234

Realised P&L
$-261.29
Volume
$15.4k
Markets traded
248
Open portfolio
$15.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded248
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0170.005$3.63$7.37
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas? · Yes0.0300.023$2.30$0.70
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · Yes0.0220.023$2.17+$0.04
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3700.415$1.46+$0.16
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne? · CDU0.8500.880$1.18+$0.04
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD? · CDU0.8300.710$0.86$0.14
Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%? · Under0.7800.605$0.78$0.22
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? · Yes0.0200.033$0.68+$0.26
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará? · Yes0.0120.004$0.53$1.32
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia? · Yes0.0260.002$0.39$6.38
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão? · Yes0.0300.003$0.38$4.13
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí? · Yes0.0190.002$0.27$3.19
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia? · Yes0.0110.002$0.18$1.20
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima? · Yes0.0170.002$0.17$1.79
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Acre? · Yes0.0300.002$0.15$2.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 07:42Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3699999488$1.30
09-14 12:21Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%?SELL0.9$1.16
09-10 16:58Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.4%?BUY0.13$1.43
09-10 12:50Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?SELL0.0696838966$4.91
09-09 17:19Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?BUY0.459999933$2.47
09-09 16:38Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?BUY0.15$1.89
09-09 16:38Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?SELL0.7$0.98
09-08 14:58Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?SELL0.6$1.00
09-07 19:58Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-07 18:09Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?SELL0.001$0.03
09-07 18:09Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 2.7% and 2.9%?SELL0.001$0.01
09-07 18:08Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be at least 3.0%?SELL0.001$0.01
09-07 14:12Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or AfD?SELL0.84$1.00
09-07 13:09Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?BUY0.5099999063$1.96
09-07 13:08Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or Grüne?SELL0.78$1.01