PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x9253A534D9B15737f1Cc8a0fc44f51719FB6344c-1774225187112

0x9253a534d9b15737f1cc8a0fc44f51719fb6344c

Realised P&L
$-250.95
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$19.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? · No0.9690.966$9.96−$0.04
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30? · Yes0.9500.943$9.93−$0.07
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.4420.000$0.00−$80.00
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30? · No0.4610.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? · No0.8100.000$0.00−$32.00
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? · No0.3420.000$0.00−$301.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No0.9680.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · No0.1350.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? · No0.6680.000$0.00−$38.00
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No0.8600.000$0.00−$6.27
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31? · No0.6300.000$0.00−$20.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No0.8300.000$0.00−$14.65
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? · No0.5600.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 13:26Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30?BUY0.95$10.00
11-01 13:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?BUY0.9689999475$10.00
09-20 03:27NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8499999947$16.00
09-14 05:12Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?SELL0.966$14.41
08-03 10:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.4417177886$80.00
08-02 15:54Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
07-30 15:01Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?BUY0.0633483581$1.00
07-06 22:23Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.5399999985$50.00
07-06 13:40Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
07-06 10:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?SELL0.51$53.07
07-05 10:44Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.4399999982$40.00
07-05 03:08Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
07-05 00:49Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
07-03 06:20Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.86$5.00
07-03 04:11Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.925$10.00