dmitryyyyy
0x923cb049e264712bc0a6fa84e652df356eb2f183
- Realised P&L
- $-39.79
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $211.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.972 | 0.985 | $55.16 | +$0.73 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.969 | $53.27 | +$1.02 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-06 House seat? · No | 0.975 | 0.985 | $51.36 | +$0.50 |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.952 | $51.31 | −$1.46 |
| Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.936 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.82at 0.930Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?
- +$2.08at 0.950Will the Republican Party win the NY-09 House seat?
- +$2.05at 0.959Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?
- +$1.59at 0.930Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$0.87at 0.967Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 10:27 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999991 | $21.11 |