PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Ctrl24

0x923b86024d6d59ae619fa6009c6ce720b5354023

Realised P&L
$2.04
Volume
$377.18
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$106.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration83.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.3850.431$78.53+$8.53
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes0.3200.330$20.63+$0.63
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$2.83$0.17
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.1310.052$1.98$3.02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes0.1200.130$1.08+$0.08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.0700.065$0.93$0.07
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? · No0.4900.135$0.28$0.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSELL0.55$5.61
09-16 18:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-16 18:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.7899999905$5.00
09-15 17:46Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?BUY0.32$20.00
09-14 21:03Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-14 17:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.5099999776$5.00
09-14 17:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-14 17:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-14 16:53Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999982$3.00
09-14 16:48Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.1309999998$5.00
09-14 16:46Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.3846478472$70.00