Ctrl24
0x923b86024d6d59ae619fa6009c6ce720b5354023
- Realised P&L
- $2.04
- Volume
- $377.18
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $106.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.385 | 0.431 | $78.53 | +$8.53 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.330 | $20.63 | +$0.63 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.085 | $2.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.052 | $1.98 | −$3.02 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.130 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? · No | 0.490 | 0.135 | $0.28 | −$0.72 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.26at 0.802Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$0.25at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $5.61 |
| 09-16 18:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 17:46 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 21:03 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 17:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 17:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 17:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 16:53 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999982 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 16:48 | Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.1309999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 16:46 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3846478472 | $70.00 |