Johnny Bravo
0x92398817484e1e860327ef84eb2e496bd9a8a86f
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $26.1k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $20.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.339 | $20.31 | +$7.61 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.85 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.84at 0.573House control after 2024 election?
- +$89.10at 0.450Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
- +$53.00at 0.4702024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
- +$46.46at 0.880ETH above $2,000 on June 30?
- +$33.04at 0.230Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 06:22 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.3 | $98.85 |
| 04-25 05:13 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 03-31 06:11 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.36 | $25.56 |
| 03-31 05:57 | Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 03-30 16:02 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 03-30 16:01 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 03-27 22:26 | Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 11-06 05:01 | House control after 2024 election? | BUY | 0.66 | $51.86 |
| 11-06 04:59 | House control after 2024 election? | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |
| 10-22 14:00 | Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election? | BUY | 0.2 | $36.95 |
| 10-22 13:59 | Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election? | BUY | 0.32 | $139.12 |
| 10-22 13:57 | House control after 2024 election? | BUY | 0.51 | $153.00 |
| 10-22 13:57 | House control after 2024 election? | SELL | 0.49 | $44.10 |
| 10-22 13:53 | House control after 2024 election? | BUY | 0.5 | $45.00 |
| 10-22 13:53 | House control after 2024 election? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |