0x92331a6e16bf881c86921cd427dc100d039c7816
0x92331a6e16bf881c86921cd427dc100d039c7816
- Realised P&L
- $14.88
- Volume
- $337.39
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $0.70
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.455 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$6.27at 0.247Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 01:17 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:56 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.992 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 08:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 23:18 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999851 | $1.59 |
| 09-02 14:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 03:59 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 14:51 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 04:04 | Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.5299997376 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 19:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 09:43 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 20? | BUY | 0.2341462701 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 21:35 | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 12:56 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 01:57 | Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 02:32 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 18:06 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |