Or-148
0x9231b202eceb03eba294f8f9844dae80d15f7a72
- Realised P&L
- $-38.92
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $2.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.019 | $2.35 | −$7.65 |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter · Luis Carlos Alvarez | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| 49ers vs. Raiders · Raiders | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.258 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.26at 0.552Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
- +$8.36at 0.382Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi
- +$6.05at 0.778Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres
- +$3.10at 0.622Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic
- +$1.17at 0.722Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 01:43 | 49ers vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.6599999692 | $6.00 |
| 08-27 00:54 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.2574257291 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 00:31 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.46 | $17.49 |
| 08-27 00:08 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.7099999926 | $27.00 |
| 08-26 21:16 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.8599999906 | $11.00 |
| 08-26 21:15 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A | SELL | 0.999 | $4.93 |
| 08-26 20:45 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 20:24 | Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 20:18 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.67 | $10.09 |
| 08-26 20:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $5.25 |
| 08-26 17:55 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A | BUY | 0.8099999838 | $4.00 |
| 08-20 14:27 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.7299999894 | $11.00 |
| 08-20 13:34 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $5.67 |
| 08-20 13:34 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $5.35 |
| 07-26 17:11 | Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.0809999926 | $10.00 |