e5c0eeEF61a5E65eC63Fa744D51F3b
0x921d8ed282d83978f4d5e12be45403effebcefb8
- Realised P&L
- $-847.72
- Volume
- $29.98M
- Markets traded
- 251
- Open portfolio
- $548.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded251
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.004Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$1.9kat 0.309Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
- +$350.67at 0.210Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
- +$342.85at 0.920Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$269.92at 0.908Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 17:28 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $69.33 |
| 07-07 17:55 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 07-07 17:53 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $7.50 |
| 07-06 17:53 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $83.91 |
| 07-06 17:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $17.19 |
| 07-06 17:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $65.98 |
| 07-06 17:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $18.03 |
| 07-06 17:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $36.37 |
| 07-06 17:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $14.43 |
| 07-02 17:15 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $66.63 |
| 07-02 15:23 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.054 | $270.00 |
| 07-02 15:22 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $150.74 |
| 06-30 17:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.053 | $19.20 |
| 06-30 17:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.053 | $22.97 |
| 06-29 18:25 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.056 | $335.69 |