Thaumiel717
0x92153734685a4adc57c72929fc56a7c1e4961f7e
- Realised P&L
- $-413.57
- Volume
- $73.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,744
- Open portfolio
- $1.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,744
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.66at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$98.93at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$57.01at 0.149Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$45.04at 0.182Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$33.47at 0.082Hawks vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:39 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 10-08 11:14 | Will FK Karvan Yevlakh win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:13 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 20:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 20:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:48 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.06 |