PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

as81119

0x920e7e3c5cf3d1e901c1f6ea4b3742642ecf001e

Realised P&L
$-5.1k
Volume
$60.3k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$1.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4500.235$1.26−$1.15
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.47
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$18.93
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? · Yes0.2510.000$0.00−$1.02
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$0.60
Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.9200.000$0.00−$2.0k
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4340.000$0.00−$4.1k
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$0.87
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00−$1.67
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$103.56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 21:22Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.45$2.41
10-19 17:20Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.44$1.42
10-19 17:20Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.45$1.45
09-16 16:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999976$2.00
09-15 07:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.13$1.79
09-14 18:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1499999999$100.00
09-14 18:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1499999999$100.00
09-01 16:19Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4$200.00
08-31 20:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.43$215.00
08-31 20:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.43$430.00
08-28 18:18Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.48$1.4k
08-24 20:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.67$871.00
08-11 12:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.59$1.0k
07-02 12:17Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026SELL0.1526666667$1.37
07-02 12:16Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026BUY0.212$1.91