as81119
0x920e7e3c5cf3d1e901c1f6ea4b3742642ecf001e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $60.3k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $1.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$650.97at 0.620US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
- +$395.54at 0.769Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$318.36at 0.666US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
- +$156.98at 0.800Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?
- +$36.28at 0.220US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 21:22 | Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.41 |
| 10-19 17:20 | Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.44 | $1.42 |
| 10-19 17:20 | Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.45 |
| 09-16 16:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 07:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.79 |
| 09-14 18:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 18:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 16:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $200.00 |
| 08-31 20:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.43 | $215.00 |
| 08-31 20:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.43 | $430.00 |
| 08-28 18:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.4k |
| 08-24 20:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.67 | $871.00 |
| 08-11 12:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.59 | $1.0k |
| 07-02 12:17 | Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | SELL | 0.1526666667 | $1.37 |
| 07-02 12:16 | Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.212 | $1.91 |