PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9203a223021Ba83D72B5fe2C379666336218169f-1768483001482

0x9203a223021ba83d72b5fe2c379666336218169f

Realised P&L
$-245.50
Volume
$16.1k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$3.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · No0.7100.745$1.05+$0.05
Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.9880.973$0.98−$0.02
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.9920.936$0.94−$0.06
Decibel FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9800.596$0.61−$0.39
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$31.26
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8500.000$0.00−$1.00
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9700.000$0.00−$1.00
Games Total: O/U 3.5 · Over0.0010.000$0.00−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$75.00
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 4? · No0.9780.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on March 20? · Yes0.9600.000$0.00−$1.00
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No0.9200.000$0.00−$129.00
Valorant: Trace Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 Winner · Trace Esports0.0100.000$0.00−$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 22:54Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?BUY0.9399999987$15.00
09-19 10:03Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.5499999965$31.26
09-19 10:03Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.965$0.99
09-19 10:03Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.96$1.00
09-19 10:03Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?SELL0.5$11.01
09-14 07:04Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.21$20.59
09-13 01:02Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.6699999923$14.76
09-05 00:40Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5099999986$50.00
08-28 01:27Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.7409999901$49.08
08-17 06:52Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.9199999997$129.00
08-17 06:51Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.87$1.01
08-17 06:51Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.953$0.96
07-17 13:34Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?BUY0.9099999925$113.00
07-11 21:26England to win the second half?SELL0.53$21.47
07-11 21:25Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5SELL0.52$143.69