0x9203a223021Ba83D72B5fe2C379666336218169f-1768483001482
0x9203a223021ba83d72b5fe2c379666336218169f
- Realised P&L
- $-194.22
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $24.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.27at 0.754Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
- +$10.46at 0.916Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?
- +$6.28at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
- +$5.96at 0.944Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$5.32at 0.904Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 07:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $20.59 |
| 09-13 01:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.6699999923 | $14.76 |
| 09-05 00:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 01:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7409999901 | $49.08 |
| 08-17 06:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9199999997 | $129.00 |
| 08-17 06:51 | Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.01 |
| 08-17 06:51 | Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.953 | $0.96 |
| 07-17 13:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | BUY | 0.9099999925 | $113.00 |
| 07-11 21:26 | England to win the second half? | SELL | 0.53 | $21.47 |
| 07-11 21:25 | Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.52 | $143.69 |
| 07-11 09:00 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.92 | $461.84 |
| 07-11 08:25 | Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.981 | $0.99 |
| 07-02 23:53 | Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B? | BUY | 0.75 | $25.42 |
| 06-11 12:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 05-19 09:44 | Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $1.02 |