PolyBot

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Traders

taotaotiancai

0x91fe8712e973331f4e0bf7435e2d15c96caa7a62

Realised P&L
$-9.46
Volume
$685.55
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$5.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 21? · Yes0.0160.012$4.50−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 21? · Yes0.0270.034$1.26+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 20? · Yes0.1300.005$0.01−$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Down0.3200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 19? · Yes0.6290.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 06:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.5599999328$2.00
10-20 06:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETBUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-20 06:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-20 06:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.749999625$1.00
10-20 05:35Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?SELL0.3072215777$5.30
10-20 05:34Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?SELL0.96$5.70
10-20 04:37Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 21?BUY0.0308436351$5.00
10-20 04:32Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20?SELL0.9207800312$5.90
10-20 04:20Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?BUY0.8409999763$5.00
10-20 04:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 20?SELL0.1114887339$4.16
10-20 03:39Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 21?BUY0.0269999993$1.00
10-20 03:39Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 21?BUY0.0046931832$1.00
10-19 15:44Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20?BUY0.7799999813$5.00
10-19 15:43Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?BUY0.2899999884$5.00
10-19 15:43Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 20?BUY0.1299999982$5.00