0x91F0BDD4Dc513F0F32957C30B7df113ce9C4F8d6-1752317632729
0x91f0bdd4dc513f0f32957c30b7df113ce9c4f8d6
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $540.1k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $246.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.955 | $150.22 | +$10.22 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.120 | $96.31 | −$97.94 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Maduro out in 2025? · Yes | 0.223 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m? · Yes | 0.892 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Ostium launch a token in 2025? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| SBF released from custody in 2025? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.307USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$689.91at 0.930Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$279.08at 0.417Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$249.62at 0.954Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$234.88at 0.679Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:41 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2420425023 | $194.25 |
| 08-08 07:41 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $206.86 |
| 07-02 09:37 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999974 | $140.00 |
| 07-01 16:49 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4199999969 | $59.99 |
| 06-30 11:32 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $400.00 |
| 06-30 11:32 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2633742658 | $425.10 |
| 06-30 11:32 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.027277037 | $68.69 |
| 06-30 11:31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $289.53 |
| 06-27 06:38 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 06-27 06:37 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 06-27 06:35 | Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? | SELL | 0.935 | $492.47 |
| 06-19 15:20 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3097811171 | $500.00 |
| 06-19 15:19 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0794152213 | $200.00 |
| 06-19 15:19 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7043699773 | $508.36 |
| 06-04 03:38 | Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? | BUY | 0.9492726492 | $500.00 |